Anti-Money Laundering Enforcement, Banks, and the Real Economy


October 21, 2021

Senay Agca (George Washington University)
Pablo Slutzky (University of Maryland)
Stefan Zeume (UIUC)

IIEP working paper 2021-20

Abstract: We exploit a tightening of anti-money laundering (AML) enforcement that imposed disproportionate costs on small banks to examine the effects of a change in bank composition on real economic outcomes. In response to intensified enforcement, counties prone to high levels of money laundering experience a departure of small banks and increased activity by large banks. This results in an increase in the number of small establishments and real estate prices. Consistent with a household demand channel, wages and employment increase in the non-tradable sector. Last, we document secured lending as a potential driver of this outcome.

JEL Codes: G21, G28

Key Words: Money laundering, Financial Institutions, Real economy, Deposits and lending, Financial crime