Illuminating Africa?

November 2023

Tanner Regan (George Washington University)
Giorgio Chiovelli (Universidad de Montevideo)
Stelios Michalopoulos (Brown University, CEPR and NBER)
Elias Papaioannou (London Business School, CEPR)

IIEP working paper 2023-11

Abstract: Satellite images of nighttime lights are commonly used to proxy local economic conditions. Despite their popularity, there are concerns about how accurately they capture local development in low-income settings and different scales. We compile a yearly series of comparable nighttime lights for Africa from 1992 to 2020, considering key factors that affect accuracy and comparability over time: sensor quality, top coding, blooming, and, importantly, variations in satellite systems (DMPS and VIIRS) using an ensemble, machine learning, approach. The harmonized luminosity series outperforms the unadjusted series as a stronger predictor of local development, particularly over time and at higher spatial resolutions.

JEL Codes: O1, R1, E01, I32

Keywords: Night Lights, Economic Development, Measurement, Africa